2025 Recession Risky. The us economy is still likely to slow into a recession next year — and trump's election victory may have made the economic outlook even more challenging, steve hanke, a top economist, said. Sifma says nearly half of roundtable members believe the odds of a recession in 2025 to be 15% or less, while another third estimate that the likelihood of a recession is between 15% and 30%.

2025 begins around the world with light shows, embraces and ice plunges. Economists will continue to monitor growth in the economy to predict a recession, keeping a close eye on whether trump acts on many of his campaign pledges.